Thursday, March 11, 2010
Climate Change, the Environment, and Technology: Building a New Future
3:00 - 4:20 PM

Related Documents:
Speakers
Steve Bolze Steve Bolze
President and CEO of Power and Water
General Electric Company
Moray Dewhurst Moray Dewhurst
Vice-Chairman and Chief of Staff
FPL Group, Inc.
Robert LaCount Robert LaCount
Senior Director
IHS CERA
Minoru Shinohara Minoru Shinohara
Senior Vice President, Technology Development Division
Nissan
Daniel Yergin Daniel Yergin
Chairman
IHS CERA
(Chair)

On Thursday of CERAWeek 2010 IHS CERA Chairman Daniel Yergin chaired a plenary panel on "Climate Change, The Environment, and Technology: Building a New Energy Future." Dr. Yergin and the panelists covered a range of related issues including the changing landscape for energy demand, emerging power generation technologies, and strategic business planning in an uncertain regulatory environment.

Steve Bolze, President and Chief Executive Officer, GE Power and Water, presented an overview of the challenges facing the global electricity market and the technologies required to meet growing demand and emissions targets. Mr. Bolze explained that emerging markets are the centers of demand growth in the global power industry and will grow at approximately twice the rate of power demand in industrialized economies. He pointed out that power producers are expected to develop a power generation mix that can satisfy stakeholder demands for energy independence and low emissions. To conclude his overview of the challenges facing power producers, Mr. Bolze described the water intensity of power generation and explained that 60 percent of the world's population will face water constraints by 2025. In the second section of his presentation, Mr. Bolze walked the audience through the existing and emerging technological options for power generation but tempered the description with comments on the challenges to deploying each of the technologies. In conclusion Mr. Bolze argued that pragmatic and consistent government policies are essential to the efficient development of a global power industry. He singled out the United States as an example of a country that could make significant efficiency gains, adding that only 3 to 4 percent of US electricity is generated from renewable sources.

Minoru Shinohara, Senior Vice President of Technology Development Division at Nissan, described how the company's comprehensive vehicle development strategy has the potential to reduce carbon emissions and reduce transportation congestion. Mr. Shinohara explained that Nissan is pursuing several vehicle development programs simultaneously--enhancing the energy efficiency of existing models, developing state-of-the-art hybrid vehicles, and creating a fleet of fuel cell-powered electric vehicles that produce no carbon emissions. Mr. Shinohara said that Nissan's three-layer development strategy is aimed at improving society by reducing congestion; enhancing driver experience by providing high-quality, low-fuel-cost-vehicles; and protecting the environment by dramatically increasing engine energy efficiency. He reminded the audience that electrification of vehicles provides the flexibility critical to accomplishing overall energy and environmental objectives because many different fuels and technologies can be used to produce electricity.

Moray Dewhurst, Vice Chairman and Chief of Staff of FPL Group, began his remarks by explaining the high level of regulatory uncertainty that complicates power investment decisions in the United States. When introducing him, Dr. Yergin pointed out that Mr. Dewhurst's experience as the leader of a major utility was an essential element in the panel discussion because FPL Group and its peers in the utility sector are charged with integrating the power generation solutions that Mr. Bolze described as well as Mr. Shinohara's vision for the next generation of vehicles. Mr. Dewhurst explained the uncertainty that complicates the power business and stressed that there is tremendous uncertainty about the science of climate change itself. Although many scientists and policymakers are confident about the general temperature trends, major uncertainly remains over the timing, scale, and distribution of environmental change. Uncertainty about the policy response to climate change is also great, Dewhurst commented. The level and intensity of public opinion support for climate change legislation and the technological and political solutions to associated issues such as power transmission are major unknowns, he cautioned. Mr. Dewhurst concluded by explaining the six rules that FPL Group has used to make investment decisions in a complicated power market.

IHS CERA Senior Director Robert LaCount summarized the panelists' remarks and reiterating that power will continue to be at the forefront of the carbon debate for the foreseeable future.